My New Blog

Mortgage Rate Predictions: What to Expect from August to December 2025

July 12th, 2025 4:22 PM by Sam Kader NMLS# 130505

As we move through the second half of 2025, one question remains top of mind for homebuyers, sellers, and refinancers alike: Where are mortgage rates heading?

Recent analysis suggests gradual relief may be in sight, with most experts predicting that mortgage rates will slowly decline, ending the year somewhere between 6.3% and 6.5% for a 30-year fixed loan.

Current Snapshot (As of July 2025):

  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.72%
  • 15-Year Fixed Rate: 5.86%
  • Rates remain below the 52-week high of 7.04%, but are still well above pre-2022 levels.

Forecasts from Industry Leaders:

SourceProjected Rate (Dec 2025)
LongForecast.com6.29%
National Association of REALTORS® (NAR)6.4% avg for H2 2025
Fannie Mae6.5%
Mortgage Bankers Association6.7%

While estimates vary, consensus points to stabilization in the mid-6% range, with some easing expected by year-end.

What's Influencing Mortgage Rates?

  1. Federal Reserve Policy: Any rate cuts could ease borrowing costs.
  2. Inflation Trends: Easing inflation is encouraging—but still closely watched.
  3. Economic Growth: A slowing economy may lead to rate relief in 2026.
  4. Housing Supply Constraints: Inventory remains tight as sellers cling to older, lower rates.
  5. Global Uncertainty: Political and financial volatility continues to affect long-term rate stability.

What This Means for Buyers & Homeowners

  • Affordability: Small decreases in rates can significantly impact monthly payments.
  • Home Sales: Expect moderate increases in both new and resale home activity.
  • Refinancing: If rates reach the 6.3% range, homeowners with older loans in the 7%+ range may consider refinancing.

Bottom Line

Mortgage rates are expected to gradually decline through December 2025, settling between 6.3% and 6.5%. While a return to sub-6% rates is unlikely this year, the outlook is improving for both buyers and existing homeowners.

If you're thinking about buying, selling, or refinancing in Washington, now's a great time to start the conversation. Reach out to Pacific Coast Financial LLC for expert, local guidance tailored to today’s market.

Disclaimer

The mortgage rate figures mentioned above reflect publicly available economic forecasts and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute a loan offer or rate quote. Actual rates and Annual Percentage Rates (APR) vary based on credit profile, loan type, loan amount, and property location. Rates are subject to change without notice. Contact Pacific Coast Financial LLC for current rate and APR information. Licensed in Washington State.

Posted in:Market Update and tagged: Market Update
Posted by Sam Kader NMLS# 130505 on July 12th, 2025 4:22 PM

Archives:

Categories:

My Favorite Blogs:

Sites That Link to This Blog:

/Apps/Forms/LeadFormViewer.aspx?FormID=43334&GroupID=315148&PageName=Blog&AWSAccountPageID=50252396&NotificationEmail=

Pacific Coast Financial LLC

Lic# MB 78982

1329 N 47th St # 31045
Seattle, WA 98103